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Waves this morning at the Washout (900AM EDT), KNEE-THIGH high and SEMI-CHOPPY conditions. Tide is outgoing. Waves are expected to build on the incoming tide this afternoon as winds veer. Strong northerly winds across the Mid-Atlantic States has develop a substantial N-NE swell. Most of this swell is heading to Florida, but should fill in along the Georgia/South Carolina coastlines. Local winds will continue to veer southerly as this surface high pressure moves eastwards setting up a southerly wind fetch out ahead of a frontal boundary for Friday into Saturday. Waves will be building today in the STOMACH-CHEST range for the afternoon high tide with some moderate southerly chop. As the swell begins to fill in today into tomorrow, southerly winds will create a more mix swell for tomorrow into Friday. Waves will remain WAIST high or larger during this time period with the best chance for larger peaks on the incoming tides. Early mornings will be worth a check for somewhat cleaner conditions but smaller. Keep an eye on the frontal boundary approaching from the west for development of the southwest winds and potential clean up session post frontal. BOTTOM LINE: N-NE SWELL FILLING IN TODAY UNDER SEMI-CHOPPY CONDITIONS IN THE STOMACH RANGE, WINDS VEER CREATING A MIX SWELL WITH LOCAL CHOP THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST WITH INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS AND A SHOT AT A CLEAN UP SESSION LATE FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY, MIX SWELL BEGINS TO DROP OFF SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. Today (5/15/08): Water Temp: 72F Weather: Sunny and Breezy Low Tide: 1027AM EDT Most Likely Wave Size: ANKLE-KNEE (Probability: 60%) Next Most Likely Size: KNEE-THIGH (Probability: 40%) Wave Form: SEMI-CHOPPY High Tide: 457PM EDT Most Likely Wave Size: WAIST-STOMACH (Probability: 70%) Next Most Likely Size: STOMACH-CHEST (Probability: 30%) Wave Form: SEMI-CHOPPY Wind Speed and Direction: ESE @ 10-15kts veering S Ocean Current: NOTE: FOLLYWEATHER.COM SURF INDEX: 5 (10: Drooling, 1: Where is my remote control surfer?)
Tomorrow (5/16/08): Water Temp: 72F Weather: Partly Cloudy with increasing Clouds and a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms. Low Tide: 1114AM EDT Most Likely Wave Size: KNEE-THIGH (Probability: 60%) Next Most Likely Size: THIGH-WAIST (Probability: 40%) Wave Form: SEMI-CHOPPY High Tide: 546PM EDT Most Likely Wave Size: WAIST-STOMACH (Probability: 60%) Next Most Likely Size: STOMACH-CHEST (Probability: 40%) Wave Form: SEMI-CHOPPY/CHOPPY Wind Speed and Direction: S @ 10-15kts veering SW @ 15-20kts late Ocean Current: NOTE: FOLLYWEATHER.COM SURF INDEX: 6 (10: Drooling, 1: Where is my remote control surfer?) WHAT TO LOOK FORWARD TO: SWELL FILLING IN TODAY INTO TOMORROW, SOUTHERLY WINDS PICK UP, MIX SWELL DEVELOPS THURS INTO FRI IN THE CHEST RANGE, SOUTHWEST WIND CHOP FRIDAY OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY, SHOT AT CLEAN UP SESSION, KEEP A EYE ON THE TROUGH TO THE WEST!
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