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Tropical Cyclone Model GuidanceUse of these products constitutes consent to this site's Disclaimer Statement. The purpose of this page is to provide the operational tropical cyclone track and intensity guidance in an easy-to-read format. These images are used locally for daily tropical weather briefings at Colorado State University (CSU) and the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA). Other users may find them useful as well, so these plots are provided out of courtesy to the wider community. A protected portion of this site provides plots of the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) guidance. Only users at CSU-ATS and CIRA have access to plots on the protected guidance page. These plots should be considered an 'experts' resource - they should not be used for decision-making by nonqualified individuals. Media and web site operators, please follow the Guidelines for Media Usage and Redistribution. Product timeliness, data sources, and acknowledgements can be found on: More About this Site. Finally, current status information and notes to users have been placed on a separate page: Current Notes. Current active systems from the 'open' sources:North Atlantic Basin
Northeast Pacific Basin
Central North Pacific Basin
Other Tropical Cyclone LinksJonathan Vigh's Tropical Cyclone Pages My other TC page has some good resources and links for current storms. Experimental Forecast Tropical Cyclone Genesis Potential Fields Loops of model fields from Florida State University NRL Hurricanes, Typhoons, Satellite images, Forecasts, Tracks An excellent page for monitoring storms around the world Global Forecasting System (GFS) Global Ensemble TC Tracks from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) DISCLAIMER: By using this web site (any pages under http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/), you agree to release and indemnify the owner of this page (Jonathan Vigh) from any and all liability, damage, or loss arising from your use of, or any decisions based on, this web site. The model guidance products on this page are derived from various numerical weather prediction models or statistical methods. They come from multiple numerical weather prediction centers around the world and their status may be operational or experimental. These models are frequently prone to LARGE errors. ABSOLUTELY NO GUARANTEES are made as to the accuracy or timeliness of this data. None of the information here should be considered as official guidance -- DO NOT USE FOR LIFE AND DEATH DECISIONS! For official storm information including watches and warnings, rely on the National Hurricane Center, your local National Weather Service office, and your local emergency officials. Please also view the general disclaimer for this web site. Please note that the CURRENT official forecast from the National Hurricane Center does NOT appear on the early-cycle guidance plots. The forecast that is shown is the 6-h old interpolated official forecast (OFCI). For the current official NHC track forecast and all other official storm information, please go to the National Hurricane Center. Please direct comments or questions about this page to Jonathan Vigh. Please do not write or call to ask for a personalized landfall forecast, as I do not have time to respond to such requests. Usage statistics for this site are available. |
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